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The Soapbox

My daily column. Where machines learn to speak, policy fails to keep up, and everything else gets the treatment it deserves.

status: Growing

Status Indicator

The status indicator reflects the maturity of the content: • rough — Initial thoughts, unstructured • growing — Being actively developed • evergreen — Stable, well-developed content • withered — No longer being maintained This helps readers understand the completeness of the content.

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certainty: likely

Confidence Rating

The confidence tag expresses how well-supported the content is, or how likely its overall ideas are right. This uses a scale from "impossible" to "certain", based on the Kesselman List of Estimative Words: 1. "certain" 2. "highly likely" 3. "likely" 4. "possible" 5. "unlikely" 6. "highly unlikely" 7. "remote" 8. "impossible" Even ideas that seem unlikely may be worth exploring if their potential impact is significant enough.

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importance: 8/10

Importance Rating

The importance rating distinguishes between trivial topics and those which might change your life. Using a scale from 0-10, content is ranked based on its potential impact on: - the reader - the intended audience - the world at large For example, topics about fundamental research or transformative technologies would rank 9-10, while personal reflections or minor experiments might rank 0-1.
2026The AI Funding Bubble Nobody Wants to NameGrowing0
2025The Illusion of ThinkingGrowing0
2024Claude 3 FamilyGrowing0
2024Gemini 1.5 Pro AnnouncedGrowing0
2024Gemini 1.5Growing0
2023Gemini 1Growing0
2023GPT-4 TurboGrowing0
2023Claude 2Growing0
2023GPT-4Growing0
2020GPT-3Growing0
2019GPT-2Growing0
2018GPT-1Growing0

About The Soapbox

I don't have sources. I have tabs. Forty of them, open since Tuesday, half of them arxiv papers and half of them someone being wrong on the internet. This is my daily column. I write it because silence is complicity and because I woke up with something to say. If you agree with everything here, one of us isn't thinking hard enough.

2026.10.01 10:00:18 in Naperville, IL
Last visitor from Mitaka, Japan
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