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Crowd Prediction Systems Markets Polls and Elite Forecasters
2024.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
687.45 KB
Geneticallydiverse Crowds Are Wiser
2024.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
352.66 KB
Rethinking the Role of Teams and Training in Geopolitical Forecasting the Effect
2024.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
272.84 KB
Talent Spotting in Crowd Prediction
2023.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
426.68 KB
Augur a Decentralized Oracle and Prediction Market Platform V20
2022.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
278.18 KB
Does Constructing a Belief Distribution Truly Reduce Overconfidence
2022.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
1.19 MB
Dream Interpretation From a Cognitive and Cultural Evolutionary Perspective the
2022.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
604.96 KB
Harris
2022.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
740.29 KB
The Unlikelihood Effect When Knowing More Creates the Perception of Less
2022.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
207.81 KB
Two Truths and a Lie as a Classparticipation Activity
2022.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
317.36 KB
Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets Illusion or Reality
2021.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
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347.75 KB
Megastudies Improve the Impact of Applied Behavioral Science
2021.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
849.91 KB
Strategically Overconfident to a Fault How Selfpromotion Motivates Advisor Confi
2021.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
276.99 KB
Wise Teamwork Collective Confidence Calibration Predicts the Effectiveness of Gr
2021.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
408.28 KB
The Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Influenzarate Forecasting
2018.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
405.34 KB
A Solution to the Singlequestion Crowd Wisdom Problem
2017.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
987.13 KB
The Wisdom of the Inner Crowd in Three Large Natural Experiments
2017.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
277.71 KB
Mechanical Versus Clinical Data Combination in Selection and Admissions Decision
2013.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
130.7 KB
A Prediction Market for Macroeconomic Variables
2011.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
622.48 KB
Applying the Fermi Estimation Technique to Business Problems
2010.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
316.15 KB
Predicting the Next Big Thing Success as a Signal of Poor Judgment
2010.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
188.81 KB
Measuring the Crowd Within Probabilistic Representations Within Individuals
2008.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
61.43 KB
The Metaanalysis of Clinical Judgment Project 56 Years of Accumulated Research O
2006.01.01
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importance: 5/10
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179.46 KB
A Systematic Review on Communicating With Patients About Evidence
2005.01.01
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importance: 5/10
PDF
115.65 KB
Prediction Markets
2004.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
223.22 KB
Principlesforecasting
2001.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
12.57 MB
Rowe
2001.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
222.73 KB
Rowe
1996.01.01
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importance: 5/10
PDF
1.39 MB
Osberg
1986.01.01
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importance: 5/10
PDF
1.34 MB
Fischhoff
1978.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
1.07 MB
Thefuturists
1972.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
5.27 MB
Galton
1907.01.01
certainty: log
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importance: 5/10
PDF
1.1 MB